{"id":5419,"date":"2024-09-19T14:37:50","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:37:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/27.preview.freshtone.ru\/fed-policy-easing-does-not-guarantee-further-usdjpy-decline\/"},"modified":"2024-09-19T14:37:50","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:37:50","slug":"fed-policy-easing-does-not-guarantee-further-usdjpy-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/27-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/fed-policy-easing-does-not-guarantee-further-usdjpy-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed policy easing does not guarantee further USDJPY decline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/usdjpy\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>The USDJPY currency pair<\/strong><\/a> met yesterday&#8217;s Fed meeting near the yearly low. On the fact of the long-awaited rate cut traders tried to strengthen the onslaught on the dollar, but all the drawdown by the end of Wednesday&#8217;s trading session was bought back. Today, the bulls are already insisting on strengthening the U.S. currency, almost bringing USDJPY quotes to the level of <strong>144<\/strong>. Such price dynamics may seem illogical, but it can be clarified with a detailed study of yesterday&#8217;s events.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>Although the easing of the Fed&#8217;s monetary policy by 0.5% is nominally considered clearly dovish, Reuters analysts don\u2019t quite agree with this view of market participants. They pay attention to the regulator&#8217;s updated forecast. Based on it, the cycle of rate cuts will be faster than it was expected in June. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/us-interest-rate-projection-longer\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>At the same time, the level of the neutral rate, which the cost of borrowing should reach eventually, was raised to 2.9% from 2.8%<\/strong><\/a>. In other words, the pace of policy easing will accelerate, but the scale of this easing will be more modest.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>Experts surveyed by Bloomberg expect at least a temporary halt of the USDJPY downtrend. Akira Moroga, chief market strategist at Aozora Bank, called the level of <strong>140<\/strong> yen per dollar a key support until the end of 2024. From his point of view, the U.S. currency could show a strong rebound against its Japanese counterpart in case of a soft landing of the U.S. economy. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/us-fed-interest-rate-decision\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>This is due to the large gap in the level of rates between the countries<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>Reuters experts are confident the key rate won\u2019t be changed at tomorrow&#8217;s meeting of the Bank of Japan. They point to the regulator&#8217;s unexpected rate hike in late July, which led to a sharp strengthening of the yen and the collapse of the country&#8217;s stock market. Considering these factors, the Bank of Japan will endeavor to prevent the summer events from happening again. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/jp-boj-interest-rate-decision\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Market participants don\u2019t expect a tightening of monetary policy in Japan at least until December<\/strong><\/a>, which opens the possibility for local strengthening of the dollar against the yen.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>In the near future, USDJPY quotes have a good chance of retesting the level of <strong>144<\/strong>. The renewal of the annual lows is postponed to a later date.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>The following trading strategy can be suggested:<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p><strong>Buy USDJPY in the range of 142\u2013142.5. Take profit \u2014 144. Stop loss \u2014 140.5.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. Forecast for USDJPY.","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5405,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-en"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Fed policy easing does not guarantee further USDJPY decline - SSC<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fed policy easing does not guarantee further USDJPY decline - 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