{"id":8438,"date":"2025-01-24T14:46:04","date_gmt":"2025-01-24T11:46:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/27.preview.freshtone.ru\/audcad-prepares-to-return-to-december-highs\/"},"modified":"2025-01-24T14:46:04","modified_gmt":"2025-01-24T11:46:04","slug":"audcad-prepares-to-return-to-december-highs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/27-preview.freshtone.ru\/en\/audcad-prepares-to-return-to-december-highs\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDCAD prepares to return to December highs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/symbol\/audcad\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>The AUDCAD pair<\/strong><\/a> began a gradual recovery after hitting a 5-month low at the beginning of last week. Quotes have consolidated above the <strong>0.9<\/strong> level without significant problems, and now buyers of the Australian dollar against its Canadian counterpart are targeting December highs near the <strong>0.912<\/strong> level. With technical indicators not overheating, there are no major obstacles to further gains. The changing fundamental picture also supports the bulls&#8217; position.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>The main factor pressuring the Canadian dollar is Donald Trump&#8217;s intention to impose a 25% import tariff on its northern neighbor as of February 1st. Earlier it was expected that the main victim of the new American president&#8217;s policy would be China, but in the short term it is Canada that risks becoming mainly affected. According to an analysis by Oxford Economics, a 25% tariff on Canadian goods will reduce the country&#8217;s GDP by 3% and trigger a recession.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Canada&#8217;s inflation figures for December confirm the difficulties in the Canadian economy. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/ca-cpi-yoy\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Price growth slowed to 1.8%, below the 1.9% expected by Reuters analysts<\/strong><\/a>. The Bank of Canada&#8217;s preferred measures of inflation (median and trimmed mean consumer price indices) also showed a decline. Adding to the gloom, retail sales data for November showed a lack of momentum with an expected 0.2% increase. This reflects the need for new stimulus measures from the Canadian regulator.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>After evaluating this week&#8217;s statistics, <a href=\"https:\/\/marketcheese.com\/indicator\/ca-boc-interest-rate-decision\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>the experts at Bank of America have changed their opinion and now expect another cut in the Bank of Canada&#8217;s key interest rate at the meeting on January 29<\/strong><\/a>. The previous forecast was for a pause in the monetary easing cycle, but now currency market participants point to a decrease in borrowing costs next week with more than 80% probability. In Australia, interest rates remain unchanged, strengthening the local currency and supporting AUDCAD growth.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Despite almost two weeks of AUDCAD gains, the <strong>RSI <\/strong>indicator is still not in the overbought territory. A correction signal has not yet been formed, so the price may well reach the <strong>0.912<\/strong> level by the end of January.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Consider the following trading strategy:<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>Buy AUDCAD at the current price. Take profit &#8211; 0.912. Stop loss &#8211; 0.899.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Market analysis by financial analysts and experienced traders. 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